OP/JTFMax

The poll was conducted from July 5 to 7, 2022. The New York Times and Siena College used the data-wrapper website to design the survey. Elon Musk, CEO of SpaceX, tweeted that he thinks the former president is too old to run in 2024. Musk has previously endorsed Trump's political rivals in past elections and recently attempted to sabotage the $44 billion Twitter deal by resigning.

Millennials

Millennials will make up 37 percent of the eligible voting population in 2024. They are larger than Baby Boomers and Generation X. As a result, they will likely vote for Democrats multiple times. That means former President Donald Trump will have tough time re-election in 2024. The GOP still faces a severe generational crisis but hasn't yet struck.

Democrats have an advantage over Republicans because young people align their ideological views on almost all major policy issues. This means that Democrats must focus on the needs and desires of the younger generation to win over this group. They need to express the values and material interests of this group. The report's authors, Ruy Teixeira, a veteran Democratic election analyst, are not suggesting that Millennials will vote for Former President Donald Trump in 2024, but the results of their research show otherwise.

Millennials are the first generation born after the Great Depression. They were born between 1981 and 1996. Despite their lack of political knowledge, they are still highly engaged in politics. Moreover, thirty-five percent of baby boomers are people of color, and many identify as Republicans. Those who are likely to vote for Trump in 2024 are the ones who were born between 1981 and 1996.

White working-class voters

There are two competing theories to explain the reason why white working-class voters are turning to the Republican Party. One idea is that economic concerns have led to an erosion of Democratic support among the white working class. The other theory is that Republican leaders appeal to grievances and racial resentments, causing a shift in white working-class voting. Regardless of the idea, it appears clear that white working-class voters are moving away from the Democratic Party.

Across all issue areas, white non-college voters leaned to the right. These voters favored President Donald Trump over Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton, while those with college degrees favored Clinton over Trump. However, when ideological differences were considered, the differences were more minor, and white college graduates' preferences were near the center. Regardless of whether these factors were a factor, the results show that the white working class will continue to support the Republican Party until he is defeated in 2024.

Hispanics in suburbs

In a hypothetical rematch, Hispanic voters will vote for Former President Donald Trump over current President Joe Biden in 2024, according to new polling. According to the Wall Street Journal, Hispanic voters support Democrats and Republicans equally, with only one percentage point separating Trump and Biden in a hypothetical 2024 rematch. However, two Democratic-friendly research groups found that Latinos are dissatisfied with the blue view of politics and that the term "Latinx" offends Latinos.

Recent polls have shown that Hispanics in the suburbs are more likely to support Republican candidates than Democrats. The Democratic Party has traditionally received more Hispanic voters than other groups. That is why many suburban Hispanic voters will likely vote for Former President Donald Trump in 2024.

White evangelicals

In the 2016 election, conservative evangelicals embraced Trump and remained among his staunchest supporters. Those traditional Christian leaders have since redefined White conservative Christianity in the image of Trump and gone MAGA. Their early campaign stops proving that this movement still has clout, and the path to the Republican nomination still runs through White evangelical churches. Posner wonders whether White evangelicals will continue to support Trump based on their moral convictions in the twenty-fourth century.

The question is whether the recent surge in white evangelical support is a factor driving the evangelical rally. White evangelicals may have become more conservative and unified behind the Republican Party, which has been an ongoing phenomenon since President Trump's election in 2016. In 2012, Mitt Romney unexpectedly won the hearts and minds of white evangelical Protestants. This sample was drawn from the four surveys conducted between 2016 and 2020 and excluded people under eighteen in either election. Additionally, the survey did not include people who stopped identifying as white evangelicals after the 2016 election.

African Americans

The upcoming elections are a referendum on the Democratic party and the future of their platform. Many Democrats promised improvements for Black America, including voter rights protections, major police reforms, and reparations for slavery. Yet, despite their high hopes, the Democrats have done little to make any of these promises. The Democratic party's majority in Congress is also paper thin. That's why some black voters are turning to the Republicans, as well.

There is a possibility that age will be a factor in the election. President Joe Biden is already the oldest president in American history, and he'll be 81 years old when the next election comes around. Perhaps some voters would prefer a younger face to be president. So the question is: How will African Americans vote in 2024? The question is, will they vote for a new face?

While it's unclear whether Trump will run for president in 2024, speculations have been circulating. Trump began discussing his presidential candidacy in private meetings in August, mainly in response to Biden's unpopular presidency and the chaotic withdrawal of military forces from Afghanistan. However, several advisers told the former president not to announce his campaign until the midterm elections, as this would limit access to Save America PAC funds, trigger equal time rules for television ads, and allow Democrats to reframe the election away from Biden's unpopular presidency.

LGBTQ

In a recent poll, GLAAD said that 76% of likely LGBTQ voters will vote for President Biden over former President Donald J. Trump in the 2024 presidential election. The poll, conducted by Pathfinder Opinion Research, also showed that 58% of likely LGBTQ voters say they are more likely to vote for President Biden over former President Trump, compared to 16% who said they were more willing to vote for Ex-President Trump. However, the study noted that the numbers were not scientifically rigorous and did not guarantee that the sample of LGBTQ voters was representative.

It is still unclear who will win the GOP nomination in 2024, and some conservatives are beginning to question Biden's intentions. And Trump has hinted at a possible run, but some Republicans are skeptical. Nevertheless, if he does run, he will be a firm favorite in the 2024 Republican primary. The survey showed that 55 percent of GOP primary voters are more likely to support Former President Donald Trump, and only 20 percent will vote for Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis.

Men and Women

A new poll released by the Times/Siena polling firm finds that nearly half of all registered voters nationwide would consider voting for former President Donald Trump in the presidential election of 2024. It also finds that more men and women want Biden to run as the Democratic candidate. But the survey's margin of error is four percentage points.  

While the poll results were not statistically significant, the fact that many Utahns would consider voting for Former President Donald Trump in 2024 is still impressive. In addition, the poll found that 19% of Utah women would consider voting for Biden, while 53% of men would not. Another interesting thing to note is that many of these voters either have no idea who he is or would consider not voting for him. Trump did very poorly with the state's dominant church and religious members. However, in the 2020 election, he did better with church members than non-church members.

A New York Times/Siena College poll found that most Republican voters would vote for someone other than Trump. According to the survey, 59 percent of Republican voters prefer a candidate other than Mr. Trump. The other candidate who received double-digit support was Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis. Those voters will most likely reject Trump if he wins the GOP nomination.